Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 44.869515 52.815274 61.502924 71.673611 83.219022 95.882176 110.785360
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 32.842508 43.366418 55.968720 72.025706 91.780267 115.121559 144.602795
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 26.183684 37.846453 52.830126 73.174732 99.719566 132.790806 176.665787
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 19.556938 30.778607 46.166200 68.296318 98.711774 138.386421 193.271927
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 16.770761 28.320719 45.024099 70.178017 106.189711 154.859910 224.368867
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.947291 25.243054 42.445290 69.513082 109.778074 166.011906 248.696054
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 12.878484 24.673789 43.406445 73.934656 120.738540 187.795245 288.629755
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 10.277970 21.116934 39.229949 70.011811 118.913265 191.090897 302.471984
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.305327 20.205761 39.161598 72.433029 126.738641 208.706606 337.660087
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.864964 20.186193 40.552283 77.282517 138.597639 232.869424 383.541656
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.070203 19.350747 40.397952 79.469687 146.259499 250.950427 421.046263
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.222992 18.263897 39.643549 80.502996 152.018311 266.274213 454.926525
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.955452 16.187484 37.015574 78.385147 153.070423 275.382179 481.574896
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.110930 14.882918 35.731141 78.645492 158.344577 291.826253 521.086737
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.483533 13.939043 35.020229 79.869585 165.345039 311.435856 566.596221
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.444224 11.702303 31.229776 74.616065 160.128036 310.144892 577.828636
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.091723 11.177101 31.086575 76.642300 168.473419 332.390025 629.027980
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.618069 10.183206 29.710434 75.926303 171.500497 345.460580 665.284944
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.509492 10.247390 30.848274 80.685841 185.458433 378.553386 737.137247
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.969940 8.800839 28.042150 76.463325 181.284302 378.774226 752.047497
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.809232 8.560042 28.261924 79.069823 191.053011 404.888968 813.398949
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.764452 8.718371 29.558852 84.287363 206.520827 442.239422 896.082038
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.614002 8.445914 29.644385 86.639262 216.126956 469.007542 960.772693